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Red21
11007.9
1765.4
15686.2
Blue13
5216.1
13736.2
14931.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817020304050602113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
Unranked
7.90.8
4.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1373
Unranked
6.20.2
6.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1568
Unranked
6.20.8
-0.70.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
521
Unranked
6.10.2
7.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
176
Unranked
5.40.8
6.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1493
Unranked
1.90.2
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End