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Red43
76810.6
16653.4
19512.6
Blue39
102212.3
110012.4
30112.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322010304050604339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
12.61.0
11.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1100
Unranked
12.40.8
7.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
768
Unranked
10.61.7
6.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1022
Unranked
12.31.4
5.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1665
Unranked
3.41.0
4.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
301
Unranked
12.00.8
8.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End