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Red20
3621.3
22218.5
26915.3
Blue62
12418.2
61411.9
34319.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34351020304050602062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
18.50.7
16.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
343
Unranked
19.11.4
19.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
269
Unranked
15.30.7
16.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
614
Unranked
11.92.3
5.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
362
Unranked
1.31.2
2.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1241
Unranked
8.21.4
9.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End