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Red60
15938.9
11824.5
18014.9
Blue29
90414.4
31220.6
9679.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504502060801001201406029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
24.50.5
27.127.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
312
Unranked
20.60.8
20.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
180
Unranked
14.90.5
14.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
904
Unranked
14.40.8
15.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1593
Unranked
8.90.5
8.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
967
Unranked
9.41.4
10.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End