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Red50
150316.5
11824.5
17513.5
Blue2
30112.0
5963.1
61411.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57120204080100120502

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
24.50.1
27.427.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
301
Unranked
12.00.8
9.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1503
Unranked
16.50.1
16.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
614
Unranked
11.91.3
6.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
175
Unranked
13.50.2
8.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
596
Unranked
3.10.8
2.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End