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Red48
12163.6
16106.9
3537.3
Blue23
5784.7
8078.9
110012.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14260204060801004823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
Unranked
7.32.7
8.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1100
Unranked
12.40.1
9.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1610
Unranked
6.92.7
5.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
807
Unranked
8.90.1
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1216
Unranked
3.61.6
1.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
578
Unranked
4.70.1
6.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End