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Red21
12163.6
711.8
22917.6
Blue23
112617.7
9679.4
11885.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383102060801001202123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
17.60.8
19.818.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1126
Unranked
17.70.5
16.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
7
Unranked
11.81.4
13.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
967
Unranked
9.40.8
9.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1216
Unranked
3.60.8
4.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1188
Unranked
5.50.5
6.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End