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Red11
16653.4
37520.8
151010.8
Blue73
112617.7
31220.6
414.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393920305060701173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
Unranked
20.81.4
22.220.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
312
Unranked
20.61.7
20.021.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1510
Unranked
10.82.3
11.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1126
Unranked
17.71.7
16.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1665
Unranked
3.41.4
4.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
41
Unranked
4.41.7
2.74.4
Auto
Teleop
End