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Quarterfinal 3-12005 Detroit Regional
Red15
39715.4
3313.9
4400.1
Blue0
46912.6
2265.4
5571.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371906080150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
15.40.3
17.2→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.8
469
Unranked
12.60.4
13.3→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
33
Unranked
13.90.3
15.7→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.5
226
Unranked
5.40.4
6.1→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
440
Unranked
0.10.4
2.1→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.3
557
Unranked
1.30.4
2.1→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—