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Red18
8182.9
5158.5
4066.9
Blue42
24520.6
39715.4
3313.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193301040506070801842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
515
Unranked
8.50.1
7.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
245
Unranked
20.60.8
5.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
406
Unranked
6.90.1
7.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
397
Unranked
15.40.6
13.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
818
Unranked
2.90.1
6.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
33
Unranked
13.90.6
12.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End