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Red3
57.0
15081.8
4533.8
Blue52
46912.6
15063.0
128611.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027020406080352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5
Unranked
7.00.7
6.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
469
Unranked
12.61.5
11.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
453
Unranked
3.80.7
3.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
1286
Unranked
11.42.3
8.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1508
Unranked
1.80.7
1.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1506
Unranked
3.02.3
4.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End