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Red36
121311.2
12161.9
50312.8
Blue17
5158.5
5571.3
12507.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32150102040506070803617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
Unranked
12.80.3
13.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
515
Unranked
8.50.0
6.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1213
Unranked
11.20.5
12.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1250
Unranked
7.40.0
8.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1216
Unranked
1.90.5
3.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
557
Unranked
1.30.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End