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Red36
2265.4
46912.6
49413.0
Blue26
3313.9
3017.5
39715.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29360102040506070803626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
13.00.5
15.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
397
Unranked
15.40.5
15.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
Unranked
12.60.3
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
33
Unranked
13.90.5
13.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
226
Unranked
5.40.3
2.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
301
Unranked
7.50.8
6.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End