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Red45
121311.2
15081.8
21713.5
Blue15
11885.8
128611.4
5571.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272004060804515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
Unranked
13.51.6
9.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1286
Unranked
11.40.5
11.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1213
Unranked
11.21.6
13.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1188
Unranked
5.80.3
6.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1508
Unranked
1.81.6
3.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
557
Unranked
1.30.5
2.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End