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Red40
1234.5
5158.5
12507.4
Blue0
3017.5
11885.8
15081.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18140103040506070400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
515
Unranked
8.51.5
5.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
301
Unranked
7.51.2
4.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1250
Unranked
7.41.5
7.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1188
Unranked
5.81.0
6.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
123
Unranked
4.51.9
4.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1508
Unranked
1.87.5
9.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End