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Red2
39715.4
3313.9
4400.1
Blue5
2714.1
1840.1
5197.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3424040608010025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
15.40.5
16.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
27
Unranked
14.10.3
15.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
Unranked
13.90.5
14.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
519
Unranked
7.30.3
8.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
440
Unranked
0.10.6
1.20.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
184
Unranked
0.10.4
1.41.0
Auto
Teleop
End