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Red45
10810.6
4159.1
7911.4
Blue0
12429.0
6116.3
4083.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613020406080100450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
Unranked
11.41.7
10.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
61
Unranked
16.31.2
7.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
Unranked
10.61.7
8.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1242
Unranked
9.01.2
1.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
415
Unranked
9.11.7
5.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
408
Unranked
3.61.2
4.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End