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Red6
16045.3
13693.8
1682.5
Blue71
23318.8
10839.5
217.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1228020406080100671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1604
Unranked
5.30.7
5.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
233
Unranked
18.83.7
15.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1369
Unranked
3.80.7
5.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1083
Unranked
9.53.7
5.69.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
168
Unranked
2.50.7
2.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
21
Unranked
7.43.7
5.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End