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Red22
10839.5
45710.1
4159.1
Blue76
80111.3
84517.5
136811.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28300204060802276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
Unranked
10.10.5
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
845
Unranked
17.53.9
16.220.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1083
Unranked
9.50.5
10.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1368
Unranked
11.83.9
5.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
415
Unranked
9.10.5
8.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
801
Unranked
11.32.3
8.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End