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Red40
15434.3
7107.5
31212.2
Blue35
4159.1
10654.6
45710.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21210103040504035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
12.21.5
11.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
457
Unranked
10.11.1
7.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
710
Unranked
7.51.5
6.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
415
Unranked
9.11.1
8.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1543
Unranked
4.31.5
3.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1065
Unranked
4.61.1
4.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End