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Red20
1682.5
4159.1
125112.6
Blue0
10682.7
10654.6
4083.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281202040506070200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
Unranked
12.60.5
14.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1065
Unranked
4.61.0
5.64.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
415
Unranked
9.10.5
9.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
408
Unranked
3.61.0
4.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
168
Unranked
2.50.5
3.02.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1068
Unranked
2.71.0
3.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End