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Red21
10517.5
4738.8
10839.5
Blue48
3484.7
136811.8
80111.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262701020304050602148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1083
Unranked
9.50.4
9.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1368
Unranked
11.81.6
11.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
473
Unranked
8.80.4
9.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
801
Unranked
11.31.1
11.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1051
Unranked
7.50.4
7.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
348
Unranked
4.71.6
3.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End