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Red44
23318.8
17916.0
15927.0
Blue11
140211.3
34311.9
18012.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060801004411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
18.80.1
21.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
180
Unranked
12.50.6
13.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
Unranked
16.00.1
18.218.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
343
Unranked
11.90.6
12.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1592
Unranked
7.00.1
9.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1402
Unranked
11.30.6
12.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End