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Red32
125112.6
84517.5
1270-1.5
Blue17
164912.2
31212.2
7107.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28340102040506070803217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
845
Unranked
17.50.1
17.417.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1649
Unranked
12.20.4
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1251
Unranked
12.60.1
12.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
312
Unranked
12.20.4
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1270
Unranked
-1.50.1
-1.6-1.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
710
Unranked
7.50.4
7.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End