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Red4
10029.2
13799.5
16125.9
Blue2
14365.7
144010.1
14150.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1512020304050607042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1379
Unranked
9.50.9
6.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1440
Unranked
10.10.9
3.93.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1002
Unranked
9.20.9
5.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1436
Unranked
5.70.9
4.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1612
Unranked
5.90.9
2.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1415
Unranked
0.40.9
4.53.6
Auto
Teleop
End