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Red22
10405.3
13118.4
15396.2
Blue20
15975.1
12616.9
15885.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149020304050602220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
Unranked
8.40.7
6.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1261
Unranked
6.90.9
4.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1539
Unranked
6.20.7
4.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1588
Unranked
5.80.9
3.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1040
Unranked
5.30.7
3.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1597
Unranked
5.10.9
2.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End