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Red32
118310.0
16833.9
13118.4
Blue13
2815.1
16489.1
14150.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15140510202530353213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1183
Unranked
10.01.5
6.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1648
Unranked
9.10.1
4.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1311
Unranked
8.41.5
6.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
281
Unranked
5.10.1
6.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1683
Unranked
3.91.5
1.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1415
Unranked
0.40.1
3.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End