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Red9
16833.9
11804.9
4627.1
Blue39
14147.7
116712.2
137616.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151102030405060939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
462
Unranked
7.10.5
6.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
1376
Unranked
16.32.3
4.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1180
Unranked
4.90.5
5.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
1167
Unranked
12.22.3
3.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1683
Unranked
3.91.2
3.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1414
Unranked
7.72.3
3.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End