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Red23
14147.7
113911.4
15897.5
Blue9
12844.0
15345.9
14150.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111402030405060239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1139
Unranked
11.41.0
2.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1534
Unranked
5.90.4
7.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1414
Unranked
7.71.0
7.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1284
Unranked
4.00.4
3.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1589
Unranked
7.51.0
1.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1415
Unranked
0.40.4
3.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End