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Red9
10405.3
16125.9
2815.1
Blue18
15345.9
13363.4
112712.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161102030405060918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1612
Unranked
5.93.3
5.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1127
Unranked
12.50.6
3.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1040
Unranked
5.30.5
3.83.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1534
Unranked
5.92.2
5.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
281
Unranked
5.10.5
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1336
Unranked
3.40.6
4.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End