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Red3
8013.1
14150.4
116712.2
Blue12
14074.1
15503.2
5196.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222001030405060312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1167
Unranked
12.21.5
13.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
519
Unranked
6.30.7
9.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
801
Unranked
3.11.5
4.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1407
Unranked
4.10.7
6.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1415
Unranked
0.41.5
3.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1550
Unranked
3.20.7
4.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End