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Red0
10405.3
131910.0
11021.1
Blue59
113911.4
144010.1
137616.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290406080100059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
Unranked
10.01.7
11.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1376
Unranked
16.32.6
13.716.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1040
Unranked
5.31.7
8.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
1139
Unranked
11.42.4
8.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1102
Unranked
1.11.7
2.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
1440
Unranked
10.12.6
6.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End