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Red4
10405.3
14150.4
137110.0
Blue10
5386.2
131910.0
13909.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18270406080410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1371
Unranked
10.01.1
11.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1319
Unranked
10.01.2
9.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1040
Unranked
5.31.1
6.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1390
Unranked
9.11.2
10.29.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1415
Unranked
0.41.1
1.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
538
Unranked
6.21.2
6.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End