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Red20
10322.9
23717.8
12084.6
Blue22
15907.9
885.9
1684.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5080204060801001202022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
22.91.2
25.123.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
1590
Unranked
7.90.6
5.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
Unranked
17.81.7
15.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
88
Unranked
5.90.8
5.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1208
Unranked
4.62.1
3.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
168
Unranked
4.00.6
2.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End