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Red43
121911.3
28114.4
130517.5
Blue31
3046.5
11411.3
36516.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37340102030506070804331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
Unranked
17.50.3
20.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
365
Unranked
16.90.2
17.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
281
Unranked
14.40.3
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
114
Unranked
11.30.2
9.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1219
Unranked
11.30.5
3.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
304
Unranked
6.50.2
7.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End