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Red70
164810.3
8245.6
36516.9
Blue15
17084.2
10066.9
3341.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342204060807015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
16.92.0
17.019.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1006
Unranked
6.90.4
6.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1648
Unranked
10.32.2
9.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1708
Unranked
4.20.5
3.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
824
Unranked
5.63.3
4.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
334
Unranked
1.30.4
-3.0-2.6
Auto
Teleop
End