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Red5
164810.3
46914.0
35819.2
Blue37
94512.9
108910.3
1617.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46360206080100120140537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
19.22.0
18.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
16
Unranked
17.40.0
15.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
Unranked
14.02.0
14.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
945
Unranked
12.90.0
12.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1648
Unranked
10.32.0
11.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1089
Unranked
10.30.0
9.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End