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Red59
3845.8
15907.9
54611.5
Blue11
139113.2
12505.6
154610.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233004060801005911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
546
Unranked
11.51.7
11.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1391
Unranked
13.20.9
13.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1590
Unranked
7.91.7
5.67.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1546
Unranked
10.31.5
9.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
384
Unranked
5.82.9
7.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1250
Unranked
5.60.9
6.15.2
Auto
Teleop
End