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Red65
11411.3
49216.3
11375.5
Blue9
116712.8
17810.7
14921.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27270102040506070659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
Unranked
16.33.2
13.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1167
Unranked
12.80.9
12.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
Unranked
11.31.9
9.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
178
Unranked
10.70.9
11.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1137
Unranked
5.53.2
4.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1492
Unranked
1.01.5
3.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End