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Red40
4715.5
94512.9
11088.2
Blue37
1684.0
60414.2
9897.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4018060801004037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47
Unranked
15.50.1
16.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
604
Unranked
14.21.4
11.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
945
Unranked
12.90.1
12.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
989
Unranked
7.80.8
6.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1108
Unranked
8.20.2
8.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
168
Unranked
4.00.8
2.23.0
Auto
Teleop
End