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Red64
15907.9
29410.6
140315.2
Blue16
8945.1
10519.0
7143.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311704060801006416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
Unranked
15.21.7
14.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1051
Unranked
9.00.1
9.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
294
Unranked
10.62.9
7.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
894
Unranked
5.10.1
5.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1590
Unranked
7.91.7
7.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
714
Unranked
3.20.1
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End