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Red60
128016.7
126110.2
69412.1
Blue20
5226.4
12114.0
3845.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373502060801006020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
Unranked
16.71.2
17.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
121
Unranked
14.01.3
17.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
694
Unranked
12.11.2
10.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
522
Unranked
6.40.8
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1261
Unranked
10.21.2
9.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
384
Unranked
5.81.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End