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Red15
46910.3
10157.7
90412.9
Blue28
54810.4
8186.3
339.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162404060801001528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
Unranked
12.90.2
4.74.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
548
Unranked
10.40.4
10.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
Unranked
10.30.2
6.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
33
Unranked
9.80.4
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1015
Unranked
7.70.2
5.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
818
Unranked
6.30.4
4.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End