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Red30
16846.3
856.3
90412.9
Blue7
576.2
705.1
15968.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141405102025303540307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
Unranked
12.91.3
4.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1596
Unranked
8.80.6
7.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
85
Unranked
6.31.3
6.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
57
Unranked
6.20.6
4.03.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1684
Unranked
6.31.3
3.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
70
Unranked
5.10.6
2.92.4
Auto
Teleop
End