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Red14
57311.4
8947.8
5155.5
Blue21
8186.3
8302.2
3268.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1213010203040501421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
11.40.1
2.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
326
Unranked
8.30.7
6.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
894
Unranked
7.80.1
4.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
818
Unranked
6.30.7
4.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
515
Unranked
5.50.1
5.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
830
Unranked
2.20.7
2.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End