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Red40
39711.0
27912.5
11404.9
Blue22
15968.8
3088.2
8947.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24160102030405060704022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
Unranked
12.51.4
10.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1596
Unranked
8.80.5
6.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
397
Unranked
11.01.4
8.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
308
Unranked
8.20.5
5.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1140
Unranked
4.91.4
5.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
894
Unranked
7.80.5
4.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End