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Red18
32211.7
3137.9
4684.6
Blue20
46910.3
19.5
3145.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217030405060701820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
11.70.5
7.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
469
Unranked
10.30.3
7.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
313
Unranked
7.90.5
2.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1
Unranked
9.50.3
5.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
468
Unranked
4.60.5
1.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
314
Unranked
5.80.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End