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Red31
15288.1
8358.5
3088.2
Blue29
15025.4
54810.4
1417.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2318010304050603129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
Unranked
8.50.7
10.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
548
Unranked
10.40.9
9.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
8.20.7
5.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
141
Unranked
7.40.9
5.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1528
Unranked
8.10.7
5.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1502
Unranked
5.40.9
3.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End