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Qual 452005 Great Lakes Regional
Red28
4702.3
8186.3
32211.7
Blue3
8153.4
15492.8
4065.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219030405060283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
11.70.7
8.1→8.8
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Teleop—
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red by 6.4
406
Unranked
5.30.6
5.8→5.2
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Teleop—
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Second
818
Unranked
6.30.7
7.5→8.2
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Teleop—
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red by 3.0
815
Unranked
3.40.6
3.2→2.7
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Teleop—
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Third
470
Unranked
2.30.7
4.0→4.7
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Teleop—
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blue by 0.5
1549
Unranked
2.80.6
1.0→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—