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Red28
5155.5
12549.7
27912.5
Blue31
15025.4
6614.4
856.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292401020405060702831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
Unranked
12.50.0
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
66
Unranked
14.40.5
12.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1254
Unranked
9.70.0
11.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
85
Unranked
6.30.5
8.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
515
Unranked
5.50.0
5.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1502
Unranked
5.40.5
4.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End